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Mortgage Predictions 2025 UK

Key Highlights

  • Interest Rate Outlook: The Bank of England Base Rate is expected to fall in 2025, potentially reaching 4% by mid-year, with further cuts possible as inflation stabilises.
  • Government Initiatives: The government plans to build 1.5 million homes over five years, focusing on affordability and helping first-time buyers access the market.
  • Stamp Duty Changes: From April 2025, the nil-rate stamp duty threshold for first-time buyers drops to £300,000, increasing costs for properties over this amount.
  • Remortgaging Options: All homeowners including those with Help to Buy loans can consider remortgaging in 2025 to potentially secure better terms and interest rates.
  • Housing Market Growth: Mortgage lending is projected to increase by over 3%, while house prices could rise moderately in 2025, with increases up to 4% depending on interest rates and buyer demand.

What are the mortgage rate predictions for 2025 in the UK?

Mortgage rates may stabilise or slightly fall in 2025, depending on inflation and global factors. Borrowers should watch for competitive lender deals as conditions shift. Further base rate cuts are expected to make borrowing more affordable, leading to:

  • Lower mortgage rates
  • Reduced monthly payments, creating an ideal time for new buyers and those looking to remortgage

Recent months have seen fluctuations in rates, but the end of next year looks promising for borrowers. The current base rate, while still higher than during the global financial crisis, is predicted to fall, offering welcome relief to mortgage customers.

The Monetary Policy Committee has signalled potential rate cuts in the near future. This trend is expected to continue, with further cuts likely in the coming years. The International Monetary Fund predicts that the UK inflation will stabilise potentially boosting economic growth.

The mortgage market is highly unpredictable. While rates are expected to stabilise, economic shifts or inflation surprises could quickly alter these predictions.

As we look towards 2025, the UK mortgage market is set for significant changes. With interest rates expected to fall and government initiatives aimed at boosting the housing sector, potential homebuyers have much to consider. Here’s a comprehensive guide to what you can expect in the coming year and beyond.

bank of england

Will Mortgage Rates Go Down in 2025?

Mortgage rates may stabilise or slightly fall in 2025, depending on inflation and global factors. Borrowers should watch for competitive lender deals as conditions shift. Further base rate cuts are expected to make borrowing more affordable, leading to:

  • Lower mortgage rates
  • Reduced monthly payments, creating an ideal time for new buyers and those looking to remortgage

Recent months have seen fluctuations in rates, but the end of next year looks promising for borrowers. The current base rate, while still higher than during the global financial crisis, is predicted to fall, offering welcome relief to mortgage customers.

The Monetary Policy Committee has signalled potential rate cuts in the near future. This trend is expected to continue, with further cuts likely in the coming years. The International Monetary Fund predicts that the UK inflation will stabilise potentially boosting economic growth.

The mortgage market is highly unpredictable. While rates are expected to stabilise, economic shifts or inflation surprises could quickly alter these predictions.

Impact on Mortgage Lenders and Borrowers

As interest rates fall, lenders are likely to offer more competitive deals. This could lead to:

  • A surge in new mortgage applications
  • Increased remortgaging activity

Homeowners with tracker mortgage products or on standard variable rates may see a reduction in their interest payments and overall payments. For those currently on fixed rate term deals, it is worth considering when to switch to take advantage of potentially lower rates.

At Newhomes, we offer a Mortgage Rate Check service, If interest rates drop before your mortgage is finalised, we can help you switch to a lower rate, if available, potentially saving you money. This service will be particularly valuable to customers in 2025 as the market shifts.

Switching to a different lender may incur additional costs/charges

Government Initiatives and Housing Market Outlook

The latest budget announcement revealed plans to build 1.5 million new homes over five years, focusing on affordability and utilising brownfield sites. Key initiatives include:

  • Increased funding for the Affordable Homes Programme
  • Support for social rent and shared ownership schemes

These initiatives aim to address ongoing challenges in the housing market, potentially easing pressure on house prices and improving accessibility for first-time buyers.

Stamp Duty Changes 2025

From 1st April 2025, stamp duty changes to the threshold will be:

  • Up to £125,000: 0%
  • £125,001 to £250,000: 2%
  • £250,001 to £925,000: 5%
  • £925,001 to £1.5 million: 10%
  • Over £1.5 million: 12%

For first-time buyers:

  • The nil-rate threshold will decrease from £425,000 to £300,000.
  • Properties priced between £300,001 and £500,000 will incur a 5% stamp duty.

These stamp duty changes could increase upfront costs for some buyers but are designed to stimulate the market by encouraging home purchases to complete before the new rates take effect.

First-time buyers face additional challenges in 2025 with higher Stamp Duty thresholds and mortgage rates. Early preparation and exploring government schemes can help.

Government Schemes and Remortgaging Options

Several schemes are available to assist homebuyers:

As rates stabilise, 2025 could be a great time to remortgage for better terms. Consider locking in competitive deals while they’re available.

For those with existing Help to Buy loans, 2025 could be the ideal time to consider remortgaging. Our Remortgage team specialises in guiding clients through the remortgaging process, including Help to Buy remortgages. We can help you potentially secure better terms and interest payments.

houses-aerial-view

Housing Market Predictions

With mortgage lending expected to grow by over 3% in 2025 due to falling interest rates and improved economic conditions:

  • House prices are predicted to rise by an average of 5%, offering potential equity gains for new homeowners.
  • The services sector is showing signs of recovery, which may boost confidence in the housing market and support price growth.

House price growth will vary by region, with Northern England and Scotland likely to outperform the national average, while London may see slower growth.

Expert mortgage advice

Global Context and Economic Factors

UK interest rates are influenced by global economic factors:

  • Changes in US interest rates
  • Decisions made by the Federal Reserve and European Central Bank

Recent weeks have seen global factors like US interest rates and European monetary policy may influence UK mortgage rates and housing market conditions.

Financial Conduct Authority and Consumer Protection

The Financial Conduct Authority continues to play a crucial role in protecting mortgage customers:

  • Their regulations ensure fair practices in the mortgage market.
  • This gives borrowers added security as they navigate these changes.

Preparing for Your Homebuying Journey

    1. Financial Health Check: Strengthen your credit score and save diligently for a deposit. These steps can significantly enhance your options.
    2. Explore Your Options: Compare fixed-rate and variable-rate mortgages carefully. Consider your financial situation and future plans when deciding which type suits you best.
    3. Stay Informed: Keep an eye on economic forecasts and government policies that may influence mortgage rates and housing affordability. Being informed will help you make strategic decisions.
    4. Consider Timing: With potential rate cuts on the horizon, timing your mortgage application or remortgage could lead to significant savings. However, be cautious about waiting too long as deals may be removed by lenders at any time.
    5. Get Help from Experts: The mortgage market can be tricky—especially with changing economic conditions—so it is always wise to speak to our experts at Newhomes for tailored advice.

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